In more optimistic scenarios, where emissions are brought under control and warming is kept at a manageable level (what climate scientists refer to as RCP2.6), droughts and heatwaves might occur together in about 4% of the years.
Beer is the alcoholic beverage most consumed on the planet, but it may well be that by some time, this beverage became a luxury product. In our study, we took beer as one such example, to highlight the ways climate change will affect our lives.
In the United Kingdom, beer consumption could fall by between 0.37 billion and 1.33 billion litres, while the price could as much as double. He also suggested that beer price hikes and shortages could affect social stability, comparing the situation to the Prohibition era in the USA, which saw the rise of organized crime based on the supply of illicit liquor.
We hope our results might attract further attention from various beer-lovers who actually have the power to do something about global warming.
On average, then, global barley yields will decline between 3% and 17%, depending on the severity of the weather, the study showed. Instances of severe climate change could reduce the global beer consumption by 29 billion liters. Still, the study is based on how climate change would impact the production of barley which is one of the world's most important crops.
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"Especially for rich people in the developed countries, they have the choice now and, if we don't do anything on climate change mitigation, those choices may not be available anymore", said Guan. In 2011, on average, 17 percent of barley globally went to beer production, but in Brazil that proportion reached 83 percent.
There is bad news for all beer drinkers across the world as climate change could set skyrocket price as well as dramatic global supply shortage in the coming future, as per a new study.
As beer supplies shrink, wealthy, traditionally beer-loving countries are likely to see the most drastic price hikes.
A substantial and growing body of research is examining how climate change will affect staple crops like wheat, corn, soybeans and rice.
"That's comparable to all the beer consumption in the U.S.", he added, "Future climate and pricing conditions could put beer out of reach for hundreds of millions of people around the world".
"Decreases in global beer supply due to extreme drought and heat", Wei Xie, Wei Xiong, Jie Pan, Tariq Ali, Qi Cui, Dabo Guan, Jing Meng, Nathaniel D Mueller, Erda Lin, and Steven J Davis. "A paper on beer might seem a little bit frivolous when it's dealing with a topic that poses existential threats", Davis said.